How Does Bilateral Trade and Other Socio-Economic Factors Influence: The International Migration Flows in ASEAN Countries


Authors

  • Huynh Hien Hai Foreign Trade University, Ho Chi Minh Campus, Vietnam
DOI: https://doi.org/10.57110/vnujeb.v3i2.157

Keywords:

International migration flows, bilateral trade, ASEAN

Abstract

This study utilizes the gravity model and various estimation methods such as OLS, FGLS, and GMM to analyze the effects of bilateral trade and other factors on migration flows in ASEAN countries. Specifically, the study examines the impacts of population, gross domestic product per capita, rule of law, human development index, and the contiguous border between two countries. The results indicate that bilateral trade and lagged migration flows have a positive effect on migration, while the population has a negative effect. The study finds that bilateral trade encourages more people to migrate from one country to another country and that migration flows display a high degree of persistence over time. Additionally, the study finds that contiguous borders also have a positive impact on migration. Furthermore, the study suggests that the size of the population's impact on migration flows may be increasing due to the surplus of labor in some areas and the lack of labor in others. Interestingly, the study also finds that higher levels of human development in the destination country may lead to a decrease in international migration flows, possibly due to the availability of better educational opportunities.

References

Adedoyin, F.F. et al. (2020). How Does Governance Factors Influence the Trade Impact of Migration and Capital Flows in the EU? Journal of Public Affairs. doi:10.1002/pa.2207

Bang, J.T., & MacDermott, R. (2018). Does FDI Attract Immigrants? An Empirical Gravity Model Approach. International Migration Review, 019791831876855. doi:10.1177/0197918318768554

Czaika, M., & Parsons, C.R. (2017). The Gravity of High-Skilled Migration Policies. Demography, 54(2), 603-630. doi:10.1007/s13524-017-0559-1

D’Ambrosio, A. et al. (2018). Migration, Communities on the Move and International Innovation Networks: An Empirical Analysis of Spanish Regions. Regional Studies, 1-11. doi:10.1080/00343404.2018.1426850

Deardorff, A.V. (1984). Chapter 10 Testing Trade Theories and Predicting Trade Flows. Handbook of International Economics, 467-517.

doi:10.1016/s1573-4404(84)01013-3

Figueiredo, E., Lima, L.R., & Orefice, G. (2015). Migration and Regional Trade Agreements: A (New) Gravity Estimation. Review of International Economics, 24(1), 99-125. doi:10.1111/roie.12209

Lee, E.S. (1966). A Theory of Migration. Demography, 3(1), 47. doi:10.2307/2060063

Ball, R.J., & Linnemann, H. (1967). An Econometric Study of International Trade Flows. The Economic Journal, 77(306), 366. doi:10.2307/2229319

Macková, L., Harmáček, J., & Opršal., Z. (2019). Determinants of International Migration from Developing Countries to Czechia and Slovakia. Ekonomický Časopis, 67(09), 931-952.

Natanael, Y., & Verico, K. (2019). The Impact Analysis of ASEAN Movement of Natural Person in ASEAN-5 Countries Skilled Workers Mobility to Indonesia. International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies, 12(6), 523. https://doi.org/ 10.1504/ijepee.2019.105206

Pöyhönen, P. (1963). A Tentative Model for the Volume of Trade between Countries. Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 90, 93-100.

Ravenstein, E.G. (1885). The Laws of Migration. Journal of the Statistical Society of London, 48(2), 167-235. https://doi.org/10.2307/2979181

Tinbergen, J. (1962). Shaping the World Economy; Suggestions for an International Economic Policy. Books (Jan Tinbergen). Twentieth Century Fund, New York.

UN. (2020). UNDESA World Social Report 2020|DISD. <https://www.un.org/development/desa/dspd/world-social-report/2020-2.html/> Accessed 03.4.2023.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Downloads

Published

25-04-2023

Abstract View

127

PDF Downloaded

84

How to Cite

Huynh Hien Hai. (2023). How Does Bilateral Trade and Other Socio-Economic Factors Influence: The International Migration Flows in ASEAN Countries. VNU University of Economics and Business, 3(2), 112. https://doi.org/10.57110/vnujeb.v3i2.157

Issue

Section

Original Articles